Justin Huhn: The Uranium Blow-Off Top, AI Hyper-Scalers & 'Huge Value' in The Miners
Palisades Gold Radio Oct 1, 2026 52:42
Summary
Uranium term contracts now sign with high floors and often no ceilings — security of supply is outweighing price, the guest argues.
Spot uranium has chopped near $90 for months, but long-term contract terms — this market's best leading indicator — keep pointing higher.
Hyperscalers are circling SMR builders daily, and any construction start triggers fuel buying years before delivery — a coming demand disruptor.
Uranium is only about 7-10% of a reactor's operating cost, so even $200-pound prices would not break reactor economics.
Uranium equities sit at 52-week lows despite bullish physical markets, and the guest sees huge value until a supply-mindset shift triggers re-rating.
Stijn Schmitz's takeaways
- Top takeaway The host structures the interview around where the uranium cycle stands, pressing on who is signing floor-with-no-ceiling contracts and what the fundamental price ceiling is given uranium's small share of reactor operating costs.
- He draws out the supply-side and valuation case by asking about the developer landscape and the miner opportunity, and frames the setup as a generational opportunity for investors.
Justin Huhn's takeaways
- Top takeaway He argues the uranium market is in the middle of a long-term secular bull with a five-to-ten-year runway, with almost 80 reactors under construction, supply unable to respond, and most risk to the upside; he treats term contract terms, not spot, as the best leading indicator.
- He expects the spot price to breach $200 a pound during this cycle, noting the inflation-adjusted 2007 peak sits above that level and that $200-plus should not hurt utilities for long since uranium is only about 7-10% of a reactor's operating cost.
- He sees hyperscalers and SMRs entering the fuel market as the disruptive catalyst for a blow-off top, calling it plausible that Amazon or Meta sign long-term uranium offtakes in competition with utilities, while his own models conservatively place first SMR uranium demand in 2031.
- He sees strong value in uranium equities as of early October 2026, with spot stuck near $90 for several months, some nuclear and SMR stocks down 50-75% from their 2025 highs, and an investor mindset that wrongly treats future developer supply as bearish still capping valuations.
- He runs a dynamic model portfolio, up about 75% since February of last year and flat on the year, that took profits from December through April and redeployed from June onward, and he says capitulation-style sentiment signals and an RSI in the low 30s point to a near-term bottom he declines to call.