Gareth Soloway

Gareth Soloway: Gold Is About To Go Parabolic - $13,600 Target!

• Top takeaway Gareth targets gold at roughly $13,000 by ~2030, citing shortening gold cycles (1980 to 2011 to 2026), expanding US debt and money supply, de-dollarization, and ongoing central-bank buying; he argues that over a 5-10 year horizon he would be shocked if gold were not triple the price.
• He reads the VIX sitting near 15 as a complacency setup that historically precedes a sharp spike, and flags the post-midterm window — with no elections for two more years — as the catalyst risk if the US takes military action near Iran or key oil shipping lanes.
• He expects oil could fall toward $50 a barrel over the next 12 months on an economic slowdown, pointing to cooling AI and data-center capex, a weakening housing market especially in Florida, rising auto-loan and credit-card delinquencies, and mortgage rates near 6.5-7% squeezing consumers.
• On the 10-year Treasury, he sees a double-top rejection from the January 2025 high and leans short rates near-term; he does not expect the Fed to hike in September and looks for cuts to begin in 2027 once economic weakness shows up.
• On silver he reads a bullish consolidation leaning to an upside break toward about $88 an ounce, with $50 acting as a magnetic psychological floor tied to the 1980 and 2011 peaks; on copper he plans to short into the multi-year channel top near $7, with AI and data-center capex as the main risk to that short thesis.

A VIX near 15 signals complacency — historically that low reading precedes sharp volatility spikes investors are not pricing in. Massive AI and data-center capex is masking consumer stress; a pullback would expose underlying housing and credit weakness. Shortening gold cycles, expanding U.S. debt, and central bank buying underpin the guest's long-term $13,000 gold target by 2030. Silver is consolidating between $63 and $70, with $50 and $88 the key break targets; copper is set up for a short. Oil is unlikely to reach $150 given U.S. energy independence, and the guest sees possible $50 oil if the economy slows.

You’ll Miss It. That’s Fine.

Gareth Soloway warns against chasing hot trades at peak levels, as it often leads to poor investment outcomes and significant losses. He advocates for patience and discipline, recommending investors wait for overlooked opportunities with strong long-term potential. Lower-risk entry points in undervalued assets offer greater upside potential compared to buying into market hype.

A New Era of Market Volatility

Gareth Soloway warns that markets are entering a sustained period of heightened volatility driven by a weakening U.S. economy. Higher oil prices and constant market reactions to economic data releases are intensifying the frequency and severity of price swings. Geopolitical events continue to create unpredictable market conditions, requiring investors to adapt their strategies for ongoing uncertainty.